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Chris Christie is right about sports gambling (Opinion)

When gambling is profitable to these entities and interest groups, it’s legal. The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of the author. The NFL, for example, runs its own fantasy leagues, and licensed use of any NFL products is an additional revenue stream. Prohibition didn’t work because we didn’t accept it. The New Jersey Attorney General’s office has since directed law enforcement to refrain from prosecuting casinos and racetracks for running sports-wagering pools.

Placing a bet with your bookie at the bar is outlawed, but not because it’s intrinsically immoral.

Of course, supporters of vice prosecution argue that the individual’s addiction or bad decisions always have an indirect collateral effect on society as a whole: Drugs and prostitution ruin neighborhoods, while booze and cigarettes impose a health care cost borne by all of us.

Sports wagering is probably next. And, of course, fantasy activities increase viewership; instead of watching only your team on Sunday, you’re going to watch every game and commercial featuring your fantasy players. Here’s what happened:

The federal government and an association of sports leagues are opposing this move to legalize sports betting. That was challenged by the NCAA, NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB, and the federal government in federal court. NBA Commissioner Adam Silver has conceded what the rest of us have known for a long time: Legal sports gambling is inevitable.

Confused? You should be. It’s in Christie’s interest — and that of New Jersey — to revive the casino industry.

And then there’s gambling.

Crimes, on the other hand, are wrongs committed against another person, or society as a whole–by definition, damaging another person’s body or property.. Standing in line for the lottery in your bathrobe in the early afternoon? Still legal, but really sad.

Whether it’s outlawing drugs, prostitution, even alcohol Prohibition, making vices illegal is problematic because it’s illogical. The court held the state law conflicted with federal law, called PASPA, which prohibits engaging in a sports gambling scheme “pursuant to state law.”

It has often been said that vice crimes are “victimless,” because each one of them involves a deliberate choice to inject, fornicate, snort or swill to the detriment of one person: the person with the bad habit.

Just kidding. Another way the NFL benefits massively from fantasy sports.

Which means — and this is confusing — sports betting may be legal in New Jersey.

Trump Plaza is one of the Atlantic City casinos that has shut down.

That question might have been answered in the negative, if Atlantic City had not suffered big declines in the profits of casino businesses in 2013. Chris Christie’s request to permit legal sports betting in the Garden State. That is apparently different than banning a state from making sports gambling legal.

The nice thing about vices is that as they become more widespread, popular acceptance eventually overrides the law. They care about money. Virgin Islands. It’s illegal only because the government is not taxing it, and because the pro sports leagues are not getting a cut of the action. These benevolent entities have every interest in preventing the moral scourge and corrosive addiction that is gambling.

The Unlawful Internet Gambling and Enforcement Act of 2006 makes an exception for any fantasy sports game with an outcome that reflects the relative knowledge of the participants (but not chance). That sounds a lot like betting on games–but then again, who are we to question the wisdom of Congress?

Basically, if a state law conflicts with a federal law, and the federal exercise of power in that area is valid, the state law loses. What a surprise: In states where it is now legal it is taxed and regulated.

The pro teams and leagues must be furious, right? Well, actually no. Believe me, if Apple figures out a way to fit prostitutes with one of those Square credit card readers for the iPhone to automatically deduct sales taxes and Social Security, well, just get ready for the UberEscort app is all m88 sport betting I’m saying.

While the Garden State has a “moral” dilemma, the leagues’ position remains the same: the 3rd Circuit decision doesn’t guarantee them any profit, so they will continue to oppose sports betting as they have so far in this case.

STORY HIGHLIGHTS

Ultimately, don’t think for a second that the leagues, the states or the federal government care about the morality of our gambling addictions. Our governments are less morally conflicted, it seems.

Danny Cevallos

Danny Cevallos

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Join us on Facebook.com/CNNOpinion.

Here’s the fascinating part about the New Jersey case: The federal court of appeals held that the state could not sponsor or license sports gambling. Follow us on Twitter @CNNOpinion.

After all, state-sponsored gambling is already an entrenched part of our society in the form of the lottery. Meanwhile, if you would like to buy a lottery ticket, those odds on the Powerball are about a bajillion-to-one. The court voided the New Jersey law, finding it was pre-empted by the federal law.

The sooner the leagues figure out an infrastructure that siphons revenue from Grandpa Vito’s nasty penchant for blowing his pension check on the ponies, sports betting will magically become OK with pro sports. When someone else is making the profits, it’s magically illegal. It’s all about money.

Make no mistake, the only reason lotteries are legal is because the government gets to wet its beak. As it stands, a federal court of appeals has struck down a New Jersey law repealing a sports betting ban. Don’t believe me? Fantasy sports–gambling havens of their own–are legal, and now an industry.

On October 6, a federal district court judge will entertain New Jersey Gov. Vices are personal choices made that harm one’s own body or property.

Court will rule on Chris Christie’s effort to legalize sports gambling in New Jersey

Danny Cevallos says sports leagues, federal government oppose the move

He says it’s not an objection on moral grounds; the foes just want their share of money

Cevallos: For New Jersey, the key is to stop the loss of casino jobs

New Jersey passed a 2012 state law legalizing sports betting in the state. Marijuana has become legal over time by slowly gaining ground, until users–and states–openly flouted federal criminal law. But the government is happy to take your money on that bet.

So then, can sports betting become morally and legally acceptable in New Jersey, where the government is prohibited from licensing or sponsoring it? Traditionally, gambling has only been legal when the government can profit, but the governor and his attorney general have apparently decided that a devastating loss of jobs in Atlantic City justifies forgoing money in the coffers.

(CNN) — As a society, it seems we’ll always struggle with our vices. So, the New Jersey law allowing sports wagering was struck down, except that the court observed that the federal law banned a state from “licensing” or “sponsoring” sports gambling. It’s the ultimate hypocrisy to suggest that there’s something evil about putting 50 bucks on the Eagles to cover the spread: a close to 50/50 wager. That put Christie in a bit of a pickle: Is there any point in legalizing sports wagering if the state doesn’t get a piece of the pie?

That means you and I will continue to get stuck in line at the Kwik-e-Mart, behind some delusional nudnik spending money he doesn’t have on a handful of scratchers, or calling out his “lucky” numbers to the clerk. Follow him on Twitter: @CevallosLaw. As long as the state offers some flimsy pretext about the money going to schools or senior citizens, we the people are placated.

Editor’s note: Danny Cevallos is a CNN legal analyst, criminal defense attorney and partner at Cevallos & Wong, practicing in Pennsylvania and the U.S. Pal, you’re in your pajama pants and slippers, out in public, at noon on a weekday: Your “lucky numbers” are anything but “lucky.” Time for some new lucky numbers, and a job.

By this logic, New Jersey could pass a law making sports betting legal in a casino, so long as the state had no part in regulating it

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Sports Bettor Billy Walter’s Winning Streak

Most bettors come to a sports book inside the casino, to lay their bets, wagering $2.5 billion dollars every year. He used to make his living off it.

“When I met him, he was driving an old Cadillac full of bullet holes. Nevada is the only state in the country where taking bets on individual games is legal.

“What’s the most you’ve ever made on a hole?” Logan asked.. Believe me,” McCarlie added.

When Walters golfs, it’s mostly for fun. All rights reserved.

“Probably $400,000,” Walters said.

“Ten,” McCarlie said.

“What’s the price?” Walters asked.

“You got it for a dime!” Walters agreed.

He gambled on the Super Bowl last year and won $3.5 million.

He bets on football and basketball, is worth hundreds of millions of dollars, and has been so successful that many Las Vegas bookmakers are afraid to even take his bets.

“That’s a lot of money,” Logan remarked.

Asked what his biggest win was on a round of golf, Walters said, “Probably a million bucks, around a million dollars.”

Walters has been almost as elusive as Howard Hughes, avoiding publicity, reluctant to reveal his secrets. I lost it all in the Horseshoe Hotel playing blackjack before I went to bed,” he replied.

“I’ll take 15,” Walters countered.

“He is,” both men replied simultaneously, laughing.

“By far. But there are some high rollers who consistently win, and it’s hard to find anyone better at winning than Billy Walters. So, how does a professional gambler approach the big game?

Asked if there’s anything he doesn’t gamble on, Walters replied, “Not really.”

On the day we went along, the two buddies decided to play for $5,000 a hole, with a few side bets along the way. Now, he’s a very wealthy man,” Walters replied.

“Yes. Had no air conditioning. And he showed us how the hustle worked with Gene McCarlie, an old friend and casino owner.

“Who’s the better golfer?” correspondent Lara Logan asked Walters and McCarlie on a golf course.

“How much money have you taken off him over the years?” Logan asked.

But after 30 years of unprecedented success, the man who calls himself a Kentucky hillbilly agreed for the first time to open the door into his betting life in Las Vegas – a life he describes as one m88 long hustle – in betting parlors, in pool rooms and on the golf course.

© 2011 CBS. Small potatoes for Walters.

The Gambler

Extra: The “Keyser Soze” of Las Vegas?

Extra: Billy Walters’ Analytics

Extra: The $3.5 Million Bet

When it comes to gambling, everybody knows the house has the advantage. I never got to bed to with it.

The Super Bowl: America’s Biggest Bet

More people bet on the Super Bowl than any other sporting event. “Five-to-one for birdie,” McCarlie replied.

Walters just missed a 60-foot putt, but after only three holes, he was up $17,000

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Pete Rose: I Bet On Reds “Every Night”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

“Everything should be for the fans,” Rose said Tuesday before a preview party celebrating Saturday’s opening of a special exhibit in his honor at the Cincinnati Reds Hall of Fame. He couldn’t say whether he thought the current exhibit represented a softening of baseball’s stance regarding his ban.

© 2007 CBS Interactive Inc. The new exhibit includes more that 300 items from the career of Rose, who finished playing in 1986 with an all-time high 4,256 hits. “If they retired my number here, don’t you think the fans would be elated?

Wednesday’s revelation of nightly wagering comes after Rose said his fans would likely be “elated” if Major League Baseball reinstated him after his 18 years of exile.

Displayed at the news conference were the bat Rose used and the ball he hit when he stroked hit 4,192 to pass Ty Cobb and set the career hit record.

“I’m just happy having three stories of balls. My name’s synonymous with baseball.”

Pete Rose told ESPN Wednesday that he bet on the Reds “every night” while he was manager of the team in the late 1980s.

“I bet on my team every night,” he told ESPN’s Dan Patrick. “I didn’t bet on my team four nights a week. That’s a lot of balls,” said Rose, who spent almost three more seasons as Cincinnati’s manager before the league banned him in 1989 for betting on baseball.. 14. In his autobiography, published in 2004, Rose revealed that he wagered many times a week while managing. “They wouldn’t let me be on the field for the last game here (at Cinergy Field, the Reds’ previous home). All Rights Reserved. “They could send a hit man after me, and I would still be out there trying to sell baseball. They wouldn’t let me go to the last game in Philadelphia (at Veterans Stadium) either.”

“You want to check and make sure there’s no cork in that bat?” he joked.

The confession wasn’t Rose’s first, reports CBS News chief investigative correspondent Armen Keteyian. His total is reflected at the Reds’ Hall in a three-story high wall of baseballs — one for each hit.

While much of his memorabilia has found its way into baseball’s Hall of Fame, Rose remains on the outside, looking in — ineligible for induction into Cooperstown or any activities involving the game, adds Keteyian.

“I want to thank baseball for giving the permission to do this,” he said about the exhibit. I was wrong.”

Several Rose-related artifacts have been on display at the Reds Hall of Fame since it debuted in 2004, a year after Great American Ball Park opened. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. MLB did include him in two events — 1999′s All-Century Team and 2002′s 30 Memorable Moments — that were sponsored by a credit card company. Today, he admitted his gambling addiction was daily.

In 1989, Rose, baseball’s all-time hit leader, accepted a lifetime ban from baseball for gambling, only to spend the next 15 years heatedly denying — at every opportunity — he bet on game he played with equal passion.

Because of the ban, Rose is not allowed to be involved in most on-field activities, which has prevented the Reds from retiring his uniform No

College football – This Just In

“This is a very difficult day for our team,” head coach Les Miles said. We will do what we can as coaches, teammates, and friends to get him on a path where he can have success. In addition to winning the Chuck Bednarik Award, given to the top defensive player, he came in fifth in Heisman voting with 34 first-place votes and was the only defensive player among 10 finalists.. Honey badgers are known to scrap with animals many times their size, including lions, and even tangle (successfully) with poisonous snakes.

According to LSU, the Columbus, Ohio, native who attended high school in New Orleans, has registered 133 tackles – 16 for a loss – in 26 games for the Tigers. He also has four picks, 11 forced fumbles and eight fumble recoveries, as well as four touchdowns, two on punt returns and two on fumble returns.

Said the Dallas Cowboys’ Morris Claiborne, a former teammate of Mathieu’s: “Tyrann deserved the nickname … “We lose a quality person, teammate and contributor to the program. because the honey badger takes what it wants, and Tyrann takes what he wants on the field,” ESPN reported today in a profile.

The team, which played in last year’s national college football championship game, announced this afternoon that their top player and arguably the nation’s best cornerback, Tyrann Mathieu, has been dismissed for violating team policy.

Miles added, “It’s hard because we all love Tyrann. We are going to miss him.”

The sports network had to add an editor’s note, saying, “This story was published prior to Tyrann Mathieu’s dismissal from LSU’s football program on August 10.”

LSU did not say which team rule Mathieu broke. The 20-year-old All-American ran into trouble last year when he and two other players violated the team’s drug policy. However, with that being said, we have a standard that our players are held to and when that standard is not met, there are consequences.”

The 5-foot-9, 175-pound Mathieu got his nickname for his fearlessness on the gridiron. ESPN reported at the time that the trio tested positive for synthetic marijuana.

Mathieu and the others were suspended for their team’s game against Auburn.

It’s been said that Honey Badger don’t care, but what may be more accurate is that Honey Badger don’t play – at least not for the LSU Tigers.

Despite missing the game, Mathieu was still a finalist for the Heisman Trophy, awarded to college football’s best player, as a sophomore

Football Betting Odds, Tips and Previews

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Alex Rodriguez suspended for entire 2014 season

He will likely appeal in federal court.

“No player should have to go through what I have been dealing with, and I am exhausting all options to ensure not only that I get justice, but that players’ contracts and rights are protected through the next round of bargaining, and that the MLB investigation and arbitration process cannot be used against others in the future the way it is currently being used to unjustly punish me,” Rodriguez said in a statement.

“The number of games sadly comes as no surprise, as the deck has been stacked against me from day one,” said Rodriguez, who has struggled with hip injuries in recent years.

Rodriguez, one of 14 players suspended in the Biogenesis scandal, was the only one who appealed his suspension. The 162-game suspension — which is the most severe punishment in baseball history for doping — highlights baseball Commissioner Bud Selig’s recent high-profile crackdown on performance-enhancing drugs. Though he was suspended in August, Rodriguez played out the 2013 season because of the appeal.

Story highlights The New York Yankees say they “respect” the decision Alex Rodriguez suspended for 2014 regular season and postseasonDecision will cost slugger $25 million Rodriguez plans to appeal

An arbitrator Saturday upheld most of New York Yankees slugger Alex Rodriguez’s 211-game doping suspension, keeping him out of the 162-game 2014 regular season and the postseason.

The former Seattle Mariner, Texas Ranger and now New York Yankee player then took a swipe at Selig, whom he has claimed in the past had an unjustified vendetta against him.

When the suspension ends in 2015, Rodriguez will be owed $61 million in a contract that runs through 2017.

Major League Baseball did not release details of the arbitrator’s decision, which the players union said it “strongly disagrees” with.

Rodriguez, 38, is fifth on MLB’s list of all-time home run leaders, just six behind Willie Mays..

The ruling by Major League Baseball arbitrator Fredric Horowitz will not only cost Rodriguez $25 million in salary, it also further clouds the groundbreaking career of a player who will turn 40 during the 2015 season.

The Yankees said in a statement that they “respect Major League Baseball’s Joint Drug Prevention and Treatment Program, the arbitration process, as well as the decision released today by the arbitration panel.”

Saturday’s ruling stemmed from Rodriguez’s appeal of a his suspension by MLB, which accused him of taking performance-enhancing drugs and having ties to the now-shuttered Biogenesis clinic in South Florida.

Biogenesis was a former anti-aging clinic that MLB said supplied steroids to at least a dozen baseball players.

Rodriguez, one of the best players of his generation who was once considered an automatic Hall of Fame candidate, was defiant in a statement released Saturday.

“This is one man’s decision that was not put before a fair and impartial jury,” Rodriguez said, “does not involve me having failed a single drug test, is at odds with the facts and is inconsistent with the terms of the Joint Drug Agreement and the Basic Agreement, and relies on testimony and documents that would never have been allowed in any court in the United States because they are false and wholly unreliable.”

Rodriguez, who has claimed he was the target of a MLB “witch hunt,” probably will appeal Horowitz’s decision in the courts or to seek to delay the suspension

Top 10 Sports Colleges

With the widespread popularity of college sports teams, and the consistent successes of each of these colleges on the field and in the stadium, it’s no wonder these top 10 sports schools garner the support and spirit of students and fans all over the nation.

6. Ohio State University

Ohio State has brought home championship wins in all three of the biggest men’s sports: basketball, football, and baseball. University of North Carolina

North Carolina has won 51 titles and 34 national championships in 6 different sports, making its mark as one of the top sports colleges in the United States. University of California Los Angeles (UCLA)

One of the country’s most widely recognized sports schools, UCLA was the first university to win over 100 NCAA championships, making the Bruins a fixture among the top basketball schools. Florida State University

Florida State is a top contender in a number of college athletics programs, including football, basketball, softball, soccer, volleyball, swimming, and diving. University of Virginia

The Cavaliers raced to top positions in women’s rowing and men’s soccer in the past year, among the school’s other sporting achievements.

10. University of Florida

Florida is renowned in a number of varsity sports, notably excelling in women’s swimming and men’s track and field in the 2009-2010 season. University of Southern California

Southern California is best known for its varsity football team, which has won 11 championships, but also excels in basketball and a host of other college athletics.. Whether you follow college baseball, football, gymnastics, volleyball, soccer, or other varsity athletics, these are some of the top universities to beat:

1. UCLA is also renowned for its women’s sports performances, with the softball, track, gymnastics, and rowing teams excelling in 2009-2010.

College sports have captured the hearts of millions of Americans, from loyal students and alumni cheering on their schools to local businesses and fans. Stanford University

With an impressive record in virtually every varsity sport, this Ivy League school holds the top ranking among sports colleges. The university is known for its basketball team, as well as women’s soccer, women’s field hockey, and men’s lacrosse.

7. They finished 5th in the 2009-2010 NACDA reckoning of sports colleges, placing them in the top 5 for the first time.

8. University of Texas

This Texas school has won more titles than any other school in the Big 12 League since it was founded in 1996. The school is also known for victories in men’s diving, swimming, golf, track, gymnastics, men’s and women’s fencing, and more.

5. Stanford has brought home the NACDA Director’s Cup award for Division I sports for the past 15 years, qualifying it as best overall for collegiate sports in the United States.

With a staff of over 100 coaches and assistants, 34 varsity sports, and about 300 athletic scholarships, it’s no wonder this school presented 49 athletes in the 2008 Beijing Winter Olympics and has over 9,000 students enrolled in intramural sports in any given semester.

9. The Gators are also known for their strong contenders in football, men’s basketball, and women’s golf, soccer, football, tennis, and volleyball.

4. They’re especially known for their excellence in football, as well as putting forward strong contenders in track and baseball.

2. University of Georgia

With rigorous academic requirements for all athletes, Georgia is setting the pace for a new paradigm of scholarships among its top level football, baseball, gymnastics, tennis, and swim teams.

3

Ultimate pro football betting guide

However, this team peaked early, and eventually the preseason loss of wide receiver Jordy Nelson reared its ugly head along with subpar offensive line play. Best future bets, season win total bets, teams to bet on and against — it’s all here in Chalk’s 2016 pro football betting guide. Note the Cardinals struggled in both their red zone offense and defense last season, as this team is far too talented for those trends not to turn around. I don’t believe the Jets can catch the Patriots, but for this bet they just need to finish over .500 again.

Minnesota Vikings (20-1)

Arizona Cardinals (8-1)

Opening week last year, the Ravens lost defensive force and team leader? Terrell Suggs — and quite simply, it was all downhill from there. They jumped to 6-0 record before their bye week, outscoring the opposition 164-101. However, it’s easy to flush last season down the drain and move forward with this rock-solid organization.

New York Giants under 8.5 (-120)

Green Bay Packers over 10.5 (-170)

Dave Tuley

Denver Broncos (25-1)

After Super Bowl 50, the Houston Texans were my choice for best value play out of the AFC at 40-1. However, after ranking 12th in points per game and sixth in yards per play, expect the league to adjust and regression to occur. The FPI at 9.3 and MLE at 9.4 slightly agree, though it is a little concerning that they’re only clear underdogs in just four games (how they fare in the four pick ‘em games will tell the tale). We saw how they looked in their 5-0 start last season, when Matt Ryan and Julio Jones looked unstoppable and Devonta Freeman emerged as a scoring machine — and they were the only team to beat Carolina in the regular season. Head coach Dan Quinn, who built the Seattle Seahawks’ defense before taking this job, obviously still has a lot of work to do with the defense, but that’s why we’re getting such a great price. Before last season, Harbaugh owned a 72-38 regular-season NFL record as head coach, plus 10-5 in the postseason. After Philadelphia traded away Sam Bradford, this number has been raised to 8.5, and I believe that’s an over-adjustment — so I now like the under 8.5 (and ESPN’s Football Power Index and our Money Line Estimate agree as they’re still right around 8 wins). The market hasn’t agreed, as the Falcons drifted all the way up to 100-1 before dipping back to 80-1 over Labor Day weekend. They’ll most likely catch the Cowboys without Tony Romo. Nelson is back this season, while the signing of Jared Cook gives Rodgers another weapon.

The Giants’ over/under was at 8 with added juice most of the summer, and it was a pass for me.

AFC betting previews | NFC | Super Bowl bets

Kansas City Chiefs under 9.5 ( 120)

Cincinnati Bengals over 9.5 (EVEN)

Note: I still like the Houston Texans over 8.5 (-120), but not as much as I did when I got over 8 over the summer (though it still takes 9 wins to cash), so that’s why it didn’t make my list of top “over” bets. They just need to keep doing what they’re doing in the regular season, and I don’t see too much of a falloff from the team that finished 12-4 a year ago. Note that with the top AFC teams expected down compared to the Cardinals, Packers, Panthers and Seahawks, the key is to bet the Ravens to win their conference.

Tuley

If I like the Falcons to go to the playoffs (and especially to make a Super Bowl run), then I must love the over 7 at -130. Unfortunately, they’ve lost the services of difference-maker Marcell Dareus for the first four games. If you don’t mind giving up the insurance of a push on 7, there are some books that have over 7.5 at plus-money, and even if they don’t live up to my lofty expectations, I don’t think they’ll be worse than a .500 team and get at least the 8 wins needed to cash this bet.

Offensively, the Cardinals continue to be sound at all levels. Importantly, the huge emergence of running back David Johnson is the catalyst to take the pressure off the deep passing game. ESPN’s Football Power Index has this total pushing with exactly 7 wins, but I like that the Saints are only projected to be favored in six games at CG Technology, plus the Money Line Estimate only adds up to 6.4 wins. They did lose defensive tackle Kyle Williams early in the season, but a defensive mastermind like Ryan should be capable of working around a key injury.

Atlanta Falcons over 7 (-130)

The season is finally upon us. with trips to Baltimore, New England, Los Angeles, Miami, Seattle and Cincinnati, while garnering the Jets, Arizona and New England at home. And finally, their road schedule is void of high-caliber competition in Jacksonville, Atlanta, Tennessee, Washington, Philadelphia and their division rivals. A potential Super Bowl game was promising last season before their collapse in Carolina to end the year after an impeccable 13-3 regular season. Ryan is known for his defensive prowess, but the Bills dropped from fourth in yards allowed in 2014 to 19th in 2015. The Bears and Lions continue to erode, while the Vikings obviously lose some luster with the loss of quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Basically, it comes down to believing we’re much more likely to see 6 wins (and a winning ticket) as opposed to 8.

Again, we don’t need the Bengals to erase their playoff demons to cash this bet. ESPN Chalk’s NFL Vegas experts, Dave Tuley and Erin Rynning, combine to bring you the ultimate betting guide for 2016.

After Super Bowl 50, I made the Falcons my best value bet for Super Bowl LI at 40-1. I still like them, but the “value” part isn’t quite there anymore at 14-1.

It’s not often you get 25-1 on the defending champions. Tony Romo got hurt again and the Cowboys’ odds were raised, but there is hope, as he’s projected to miss six to 10 weeks, and rookie Dak Prescott stepped up in the preseason. Obviously we can’t have the Chiefs going on another 10-game winning streak, but that was a bit of a fluke, and no one’s going to be looking past them this year.

Rynning

Under the leadership of John Harbaugh and Ozzie Newsome, the Ravens have been a threat every season to reach the Super Bowl. In addition, their top draft choice, Shaq Lawson, might be back from injury in November and second-rounder Reggie Ragland is already done for the season. Look for the Ravens to return to their physical ways with a chance to match any AFC contender. Secondly, and ultimately the biggest hurdle, is they have to win three playoff games in a row (four if they don’t get a first-round bye), and head coach Marvin Lewis is 0-7 in the playoffs and 0-4 with Andy Dalton as the starting QB. Yes, the schedule lightens up after that, but Ryan might have one foot out the door.

Tuley: Teams I love (to bet on) Tuley: Teams I love (to fade) Tuley’s totals: Best over/under teams

New Orleans Saints under 7 (-140)

New York Jets over 8 ( 150)

Yes, there’s a trend here with finding value on teams with QB issues. Importantly, the key injured cogs from last year are back. Their offensive line, receivers and quarterback certainly rank in the upper echelon of the NFL. The Jets were 10-6 last year and had the No. The better play now is Cincinnati at 20-1, as the Bengals have one of the best all-around teams with a balanced offense and a solid bend-but-don’t-break defense. They don’t need to win them all to get over the total and, even if they don’t win them all, I give them a decent shot to win some of the rare games where they’ll be underdogs or pick ‘em.

Arizona’s brilliant head coach Bruce Arians continues to preach it’s all about getting that ring on your finger, and his team is as well-rounded as any to deliver the title this season. If Prescott can keep Dallas in contention and Romo returns healthy, the 25-1 price could be an overlay — as long as Romo can stay healthy the rest of the way, which is asking a lot.

Cincinnati Bengals (20-1)

Dallas Cowboys (25-1)

Baltimore Ravens (15-1 to win AFC)

If only the Las Vegas oddsmakers would buy into the promises of Bills coach Rex Ryan. They added defensive leader Eric Weddle to their defensive backfield, and were able to add the No. Importantly, the Cardinals can move forward from last year. The W/L/T that we used in our betting previews for each team and used CG Technology’s Week 1-16 lines to see how many times a team is expected to be favored has the Giants favored in only 8 games, so they would almost have to win all of those (plus any upsets) to get over 8.5.

Over

New York Giants Chicago Bears New Orleans Saints Arizona Cardinals Pittsburgh Steelers Jacksonville Jaguars

Under

Buffalo Bills under 8 (-150)

The question lingers as to whether Rex and his brother Rob Ryan turn this defense around. Forever the extreme eternal optimist, Ryan’s Bills generally failed to deliver last season, especially on the defensive side of the football. Well, the oddsmakers obviously felt all along that he would return to the fold as the odds didn’t budge. The loss of Tyrann Mathieu was devastating for this group late last season, as he works himself to 100 percent by this season’s end.

You have to believe that Sam Bradford puts them back on track, and you have to not worry about not pulling the trigger when you could have had 30-1 when Shaun Hill was expected to be the starter.

Vital when handicapping over/under season wins is the schedule, and the Packers’ slate is relatively smooth sailing. Besides, the encouraging number is the 12 games that the Bengals are expected to be favored in this year. And while defenses can still win championships, like we saw last year with Denver, it’s not a necessity in today’s NFL.

. Yes, this is a tall win projection, but the Packers are a heavy hitter and the schedule is as soft as a pillow.

Atlanta Falcons (80-1)

Led by Aaron Rodgers, the Packers loomed especially large the first six weeks of last season. 4 defense with Fitzpatrick leading an already-balanced offense that adds running back Matt Forte. Note that this offense actually led the league last year in three-and-outs at 28 percent.

After the schedules came out in April, I made the Saints’ under 6.5 ( 115) one of my best bets, so I like under 7 even better, though the juice is heavy at -140. 6 overall draft choice, left tackle Ronnie Stanley. Of course, there are two big obstacles for the Bengals: First, they really need to hold off the Pittsburgh Steelers in the AFC North and secure a first-round bye. They’ve fortified their defensive line with the additions of Chandler Jones and top draft choice Robert Nkemdiche to aid in the all-important NFL pressuring of the quarterback. They’re still the best value bet on the board in my opinion. The first 10 games will test the mettle of Ryan & Co. The Cardinals are poised and motivated for the NFL title.

The Bills did thrive on the offensive side last season, as offensive coordinator Greg Roman did an incredible job with quarterback Tyrod Taylor & Co. The schedule is tough and front-weighted. But the talent is there to take a flier.

Other potential future-book plays

I originally had a lean on the Chiefs under 9 back in the spring, so I really like it now that it has been bet up to 9.5 (and 120 to boot!). Peyton Manning is gone, of course, but if Trevor Siemian can run the offense — which relied more on the running game last year anyway — the defense can carry this team far.

Erin Rynning

I had a lean on the Jets under 8 back in April, but that was when Ryan Fitzpatrick was holding out, and I expected the number to go higher if he signed. In addition, they were minus-15 in turnovers and nine of their 11 losses were within eight points as seemingly nothing went right. So, I actually think now that the value is on the over 8, especially at the current 150 price. They eventually placed 20 players on injured reserve, including eight projected starters — Suggs, Joe Flacco, Justin Forsett and Steve Smith included. In proper Ryan-like fashion, the Bills also led the NFL in penalties last year. However, we’ve clearly seen the high end of this Packers team over the previous two seasons as an offensive machine and a capable defense

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